Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.047218 3.388768 3.758345 4.188855 4.677673 5.216717 5.857884
2025-03-16 2.506935 2.956489 3.477238 4.128377 4.925388 5.875044 7.100995
2025-03-23 2.259927 2.786827 3.429909 4.279745 5.383957 6.784782 8.719862
2025-03-30 2.017815 2.576568 3.287148 4.268552 5.606838 7.394360 10.007454
2025-04-06 1.821771 2.394974 3.149535 4.231495 5.769467 7.917919 11.219751
2025-04-13 1.601129 2.154790 2.904247 4.012267 5.642112 8.005551 11.794362
2025-04-20 1.489274 2.050633 2.831592 4.021655 5.833000 8.560401 13.124986
2025-04-27 1.415018 1.990976 2.813332 4.103298 6.132521 9.302208 14.837096
2025-05-04 1.348925 1.936212 2.795155 4.179419 6.425600 10.058628 16.666726
2025-05-11 1.282358 1.874481 2.759793 4.222583 6.665675 10.748562 18.467884
2025-05-18 1.219999 1.813715 2.719814 4.252366 6.882677 11.417480 20.316408
2025-05-25 1.131669 1.706076 2.597758 4.135644 6.836219 11.616487 21.300224
2025-06-01 1.063552 1.627228 2.518179 4.087074 6.910524 12.052496 22.836105
2025-06-08 1.000942 1.553068 2.440891 4.035733 6.974583 12.476653 24.414062
2025-06-15 0.981568 1.547885 2.476845 4.184779 7.420603 13.679854 27.822295
2025-06-22 0.935171 1.494384 2.426793 4.174214 7.562018 14.296850 30.044635
2025-06-29 0.888401 1.437135 2.366023 4.138175 7.648901 14.810379 32.111282
2025-07-06 0.816881 1.333177 2.216782 3.924541 7.361466 14.506457 32.189636
2025-07-13 0.785503 1.297207 2.185896 3.933694 7.526947 15.191715 34.799494
2025-07-20 0.766704 1.282138 2.191386 4.013265 7.845606 16.251378 38.546500
2025-07-27 0.748196 1.266361 2.194280 4.087447 8.159623 17.339045 42.574205
2025-08-03 0.726428 1.243313 2.181953 4.129510 8.407261 18.302247 46.449278
2025-08-10 0.704298 1.218282 2.164140 4.158532 8.628177 19.228554 50.404319